Dr Mike Evans

Lebanon ceasefire nearing agreement

White House envoy Amos Hochstein is scheduled to meet with Israeli officials on Thursday to finalize the details of a potential ceasefire agreement with Lebanon, which Israeli officials have indicated could be signed in the coming days.

Hochstein arrived in Israel on Wednesday evening after two days of negotiations in Lebanon. He described the discussions as constructive and said an agreement was within reach.

In Israel, he plans to meet with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer to address Lebanon’s concerns and resolve outstanding issues.

Israeli officials have expressed cautious optimism, noting significant progress in the negotiations. However, they warned that unresolved sensitive issues could still derail the agreement.

A primary sticking point is Israel’s insistence on maintaining freedom of action in the event of a violation. Reports suggest the United States may issue a unilateral letter of commitment to address this demand, though Israel is seeking additional support from Western allies.

The proposed agreement reportedly includes a 60-day transition period during which the IDF would gradually withdraw from southern Lebanon, to be replaced by the Lebanese Armed Forces and UNIFIL. An international committee, comprising representatives from Western powers and moderate Arab nations, would oversee the implementation.

Netanyahu is expected to frame the agreement as a ceasefire rather than a formal end to the conflict, emphasizing a principle of mutual calm.

Despite progress, Hezbollah and Iran appear to anticipate further negotiations. Hezbollah’s leadership has reportedly conveyed its comments on the draft agreement to Hochstein and signaled it would continue hostilities during talks.

Lebanese sources affiliated with Hezbollah have also demanded immediate commitments from Israel, including a full withdrawal of forces, the release of detained fighters, and the return of bodies. Failure to meet these demands, they warned, could obstruct a ceasefire.