Israel: The next move

By Mike Evans

Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas stood before the United Nations, holding in his hand an application for statehood. World leaders, foreign ministers, and ambassadors arrived an hour early to fill the empty seats in the auditorium. People were standing against the walls and sitting on the stairs. With all the hype and enthusiasm, one would think it was Lady Gaga or Madonna preparing for a performance.

As Abbas waved the copy of the petition he had earlier submitted to UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, the hall repeatedly resounded with thunderous applause. One would have sworn it was Nelson Mandela fresh out of prison to proclaim South African statehood.

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu’s speech, delivered less than an hour after Abbas left the podium, was brilliant and focused; but instead of enthusiastic applause there were empty pockets in the hall where representatives of Arab countries had departed. The silence was deafening.

The question that remains is simple: What is next? The application was delivered to the Security Council, which has five permanent members—Britain, China, France, Russia, and the United States—and 10 rotating members. The council will delay a vote on the application while the Quartet (Russia, the UN, the EU, and the US) attempts to use all possible global influence to pressure Prime Minister Netanyahu to
concede. A two-thirds majority or 129 votes is required by the General Assembly for the Palestinian Authority to be given observer status. The Security Council requires nine votes in order to pass the Palestinian petition for permanent status. The five permanent members who have veto power can vote against it.

What transpired at the United Nations is pure theater packaged in shuck and jive, shake and bake, and smoke and mirrors. President Obama spun his “plausible deniability” speech to attempt to convince Democratic and American Jewish voters that he is on the team. This was nothing more than a re-election ploy.

At the same time, the husband of Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, former president Bill Clinton, stated that Netanyahu had “moved the goalposts upon taking power. It is the key reason there is no Palestinian peace deal.” The boys played the “good cop/bad cop” game perfectly.

The Obama administration formula of “never miss the opportunity of a crisis” is working perfectly. The Middle East Quartet, which has been working on a plan for years, will have accomplished basically everything Abbas wants by the end of 2012. I outlined this in my book, Cursed, released last year.

During the Persian Gulf War, the senior adviser to the Israeli prime minister and my mentor, Dr. Reuben Hecht, told me that Israeli intelligence had received notification that Saddam Hussein was going to put weapons of mass destruction into the missiles being fired from Iraq into Israel. Then prime minister Yitzhak Shamir immediately opened two nuclear silos and pointed the weapons at Baghdad. Saddam Hussein was informed that the moment one WMD landed inside Israel, Baghdad would cease to exist.

The first phase of new 21st century wars began with an economic bomb; the second phase is the present media bomb—the battle for the mind; and the third phase will be a proxy war. Look for the Palestinians to use Hamas in Gaza as their proxy as a wave of unspeakable terrorism rolls over the State of Israel. Not only will the most sophisticated weapons be smuggled in, but additionally, WMDs will flow through Lebanon from a destabilized Syria—thanks to Hezbollah.

Dr. Mike Evans is a New York Times bestselling author. His latest book, The Protocols, addresses the role of anti-Semitism in the peace process. It was launched this June at Jerusalem’s Menachem Begin Heritage Center.

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